Snapshot October 15, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXGABOTTOMSOSSOFF-26DEC01
As of October 15, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Ossoff by 9-12 at 61%, followed by Ossoff by 6-9 at 28%, Ossoff by 12-15 at 10%. 25.0K contracts have traded, 23.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ossoff by 9-12 | 61% | +43 pts | 3.3K | 2.2K |
| Ossoff by 6-9 | 28% | · | 786 | 786 |
| Ossoff by 12-15 | 10% | · | 0 | 0 |
| Ossoff by 3-6 | 5.5% | · | 2.0K | 1.9K |
| Ossoff by 15-18 | 4.5% | · | 2.7K | 2.1K |
| Bottoms by 0+ | 2.5% | · | 11.1K | 3.4K |
| Ossoff by 0-3 | 1.5% | · | 2.6K | 2.6K |
| Ossoff by 18+ | 1.0% | -15 pts | 2.7K | 2.3K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Keisha Lance Bottoms's margin in the Georgia governor election minus Jon Ossoff's margin in the Georgia U.S. Senate election is at least 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number. Results of any December 1, 2026 runoff are not used.”
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As of October 15, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Ossoff by 9-12 at 61%, followed by Ossoff by 6-9 at 28%, Ossoff by 12-15 at 10%. 25.0K contracts have traded, 23.6K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is December 1, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Georgia: Bottoms's margin vs. Ossoff's margin? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 15). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 15, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/georgia-bottoms-s-margin-vs-ossoff-s-margin/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsgeorgiabottomssmarginvsossoffsmargin, title = {Georgia: Bottoms's margin vs. Ossoff's margin? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-15 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/georgia-bottoms-s-margin-vs-ossoff-s-margin/}}HTML credit
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