Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXCTMFPERMITS-27MAY03
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 3,500 units at 74%, followed by Above 4,000 units at 55%, Above 4,500 units at 53%. 91.6K contracts have traded, 5.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3,500 units | 74% | · | 11.9K | 1.5K |
| Above 4,000 units | 55% | +3 pts | 8.7K | 2.3K |
| Above 4,500 units | 53% | +22 pts | 19.9K | 3.5K |
| Above 5,000 units | 15% | · | 14.0K | 2.9K |
| Above 5,500 units | 8.5% | · | 4.7K | 1.5K |
| Above 6,000 units | 6.5% | · | 10.1K | 3.3K |
| Above 6,500 units | 3.5% | · | 9.7K | 4.0K |
| Above 7,000 units | 2.5% | · | 12.8K | 3.6K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Above 3,500 units ■ Above 4,000 units ■ Above 4,500 units · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 3,500 units, then the market resolves to Yes. For this market, “multifamily” means housing units in structures containing 5 units or more, corresponding to the BPS column labeled “5 Units or More.” Units in 2-unit and 3–4-unit structures will not be included. The Underlying is the final annual 2026 estimate for Connecticut published by the U.S. Census Bureau, not monthly or year-to-date estimates.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 3,500 units at 74%, followed by Above 4,000 units at 55%, Above 4,500 units at 53%. 91.6K contracts have traded, 5.6K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is May 3, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Paste on your site or newsletter; it updates with this page.
<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/connecticut-multifamily-housing-permits-in-2026/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026 Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/connecticut-multifamily-housing-permits-in-2026/">Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026 odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/connecticut-multifamily-housing-permits-in-2026.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).