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Brazil Presidential election winner? Kalshi Odds

Settled or closed · Category: Elections · Event KXBRPRES-26

This event has no open markets at the last update (November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC). Kalshi lists Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as settled Yes.

Result

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Elections markets

More on this topic: Brazil odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Brazil Presidential election winner?

This event has no open markets at the last update (November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC). Kalshi lists Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as settled Yes.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Brazil Presidential election winner market close?

The listed close date is not listed. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/brazil-presidential-election-winner/">Brazil Presidential election winner? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>

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APA

Brazil Presidential election winner? Kalshi Odds. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/brazil-presidential-election-winner/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketsbrazilpresidentialelectionwinner, title = {Brazil Presidential election winner? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Nov}, note = {Snapshot 2026-11-07 16:22 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/brazil-presidential-election-winner/}}

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