Alberta Separation Process Referendum passes? Kalshi Odds: Yes 2.5% Today

Snapshot October 12, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXALBERTASEPREF-26

Current odds

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

How this market settles

“If the option in Alberta’s 2026 referendum asking whether the Government of Alberta should commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether Alberta should separate from Canada passes, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.”

Related Elections markets

Frequently asked questions

Outcome	Chance	24h change	Volume	Open interest
Yes	2.5%	-1 pts	87.3K	79.0K

What are the Kalshi odds for Alberta Separation Process Referendum passes?

As of October 12, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 2.5% (2¢ per contract), with 87.3K contracts traded in total and 33.5K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Alberta Separation Process Referendum passes market close?

The listed close date is October 19, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

Use this data

Embed these odds

Paste on your site or newsletter; it updates with this page.

<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/alberta-separation-process-referendum-passes/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Alberta Separation Process Referendum passes? Kalshi odds"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/alberta-separation-process-referendum-passes/">Alberta Separation Process Referendum passes? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>

Image badge for READMEs, forums and newsletters that block iframes (HTML or Markdown):

<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/alberta-separation-process-referendum-passes/"><img src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/alberta-separation-process-referendum-passes/badge.svg" alt="Alberta Separation Process Referendum passes? Kalshi odds" height="20"></a>
[![Alberta Separation Process Referendum passes? Kalshi odds](https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/alberta-separation-process-referendum-passes/badge.svg)](https://kalshiview.com/markets/alberta-separation-process-referendum-passes/)

Free JSON

/api/v1/markets/alberta-separation-process-referendum-passes.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).

Cite this page

APA

Alberta Separation Process Referendum passes? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 12). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 12, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/alberta-separation-process-referendum-passes/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketsalbertaseparationprocessreferendumpasses, title = {Alberta Separation Process Referendum passes? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-12 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/alberta-separation-process-referendum-passes/}}

HTML credit

<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/alberta-separation-process-referendum-passes/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>

CC BY 4.0: keep a visible link to this page. More formats: how to cite and reuse Kalshi View.

Follow on Telegram

Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.