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2028 Republican VP nominee: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXVPRESNOMR-28

As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Marco Rubio at 26%, followed by J.D. Vance at 5.5%, Donald J. Trump Jr. at 4.2%. 1.6M contracts have traded, 11.3K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Marco Rubio26%
·312.9K198.2K
J.D. Vance5.5%
·216.2K135.8K
Donald J. Trump Jr.4.2%
·75.4K63.7K
Katie Britt3.9%
·57.1K51.4K
Erika Kirk2.5%
·154.3K110.6K
Sarah Huckabee Sanders2.5%
·62.5K53.0K
Donald J. Trump2.3%
·171.5K100.8K
Ron DeSantis2.3%
·52.4K40.5K
Tulsi Gabbard2.1%
·48.6K38.2K
Byron Donalds1.9%
·35.8K21.2K
Glenn Youngkin1.8%
·136.6K48.8K
Elise Stefanik1.6%
·44.8K34.8K
Eric Schmitt1.5%
·5.8K5.8K
Tim Scott1.5%
·5.1K2.9K
Josh Hawley1.4%
+1 pts47.4K33.9K
Ted Cruz1.2%
·22.3K20.1K
Nikki Haley1.2%
·46.6K36.9K
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.1.1%
·18.8K12.7K
Brian Kemp0.8%
·19.6K15.8K
Greg Abbott0.7%
·8.3K7.7K

3 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 9Oct 8

■ Marco Rubio ■ J.D. Vance ■ Donald J. Trump Jr. · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If J.D. Vance accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

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More on this topic: 2028 election odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for 2028 Republican VP nominee?

As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Marco Rubio at 26%, followed by J.D. Vance at 5.5%, Donald J. Trump Jr. at 4.2%. 1.6M contracts have traded, 11.3K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the 2028 Republican VP nominee market close?

The listed close date is November 7, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Free JSON

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APA

2028 Republican VP nominee: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-republican-vp-nominee/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026markets2028republicanvpnominee, title = {2028 Republican VP nominee: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-republican-vp-nominee/}}

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