Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXVPRESNOMR-28
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Marco Rubio at 28%, followed by J.D. Vance at 5.8%, Donald J. Trump Jr. at 4.0%. 1.5M contracts have traded, 2.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Rubio | 28% | · | 310.9K | 197.7K |
| J.D. Vance | 5.8% | · | 209.2K | 135.8K |
| Donald J. Trump Jr. | 4.0% | · | 73.3K | 61.8K |
| Donald J. Trump | 3.2% | · | 168.1K | 101.2K |
| Erika Kirk | 2.8% | +2 pts | 149.4K | 108.8K |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 2.7% | +1 pts | 62.3K | 53.0K |
| Katie Britt | 2.6% | · | 41.2K | 36.6K |
| Byron Donalds | 2.4% | · | 31.3K | 20.8K |
| Glenn Youngkin | 2.3% | · | 136.3K | 48.6K |
| Elise Stefanik | 2.2% | · | 43.4K | 34.6K |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 1.7% | · | 46.9K | 36.6K |
| Ron DeSantis | 1.6% | · | 48.8K | 37.0K |
| Tim Scott | 1.5% | · | 5.1K | 2.9K |
| Nikki Haley | 1.4% | · | 45.4K | 36.9K |
| Josh Hawley | 1.3% | · | 47.3K | 33.9K |
| Ted Cruz | 1.3% | · | 22.2K | 20.2K |
| Brian Kemp | 0.8% | · | 19.5K | 15.8K |
| Greg Abbott | 0.7% | · | 8.3K | 7.7K |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 0.5% | · | 17.9K | 11.9K |
| John Thune | <1% | · | 5.0K | 4.8K |
2 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Marco Rubio ■ J.D. Vance ■ Donald J. Trump Jr. · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If J.D. Vance accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Marco Rubio at 28%, followed by J.D. Vance at 5.8%, Donald J. Trump Jr. at 4.0%. 1.5M contracts have traded, 2.4K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is November 7, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/2028-republican-vp-nominee/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="2028 Republican VP nominee Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/2028-republican-vp-nominee/">2028 Republican VP nominee odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/2028-republican-vp-nominee.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).