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Who will control the House? Kalshi Odds

Settled or closed · Category: Elections · Event CONTROLH-2026

This event has no open markets at the last update (November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC). Kalshi lists Democratic Party as settled Yes.

Result

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If the Democratic Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. House. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the Speaker of the House on February 1, 2027.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Elections markets

More on this topic: House odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Who will control the House?

This event has no open markets at the last update (November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC). Kalshi lists Democratic Party as settled Yes.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Who will control the House market close?

The listed close date is not listed. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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APA

Who will control the House? Kalshi Odds. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/which-party-will-win-the-u-s-house/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhichpartywillwintheushouse, title = {Who will control the House? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Nov}, note = {Snapshot 2026-11-07 16:22 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/which-party-will-win-the-u-s-house/}}

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<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/which-party-will-win-the-u-s-house/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>

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