Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXALBUMRELEASE-26
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Offset at 97%, followed by sombr at 92%, Polo G at 75%. 428.9K contracts have traded, 860 in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Offset ■ sombr ■ Polo G · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Bad Bunny releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A “new album”, must be an original composition first released during 2026, including new singles, unreleased tracks, or collaborations featuring new material. It may take the form of an LP or EP. Re-recordings (unless in a new language), remasters, radio edits, clean or explicit releases of the same underlying track(s), remixes, live versions, acoustic versions, instrumentals, demos, alternative takes, “artist version”-style releases, or any other full reproduction of a song already available on Spotify before 2026 does NOT meet the Payout Criterion. Additionally, uploading albums that have not previously been available on Spotify but have been widely publicly available before time period does NOT meet the Payout Criterion for a “new album””
What are the Kalshi odds for Who will release a new album in 2026?
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Offset at 97%, followed by sombr at 92%, Polo G at 75%. 428.9K contracts have traded, 860 in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Who will release a new album in 2026 market close?
The listed close date is January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-release-a-new-album-in-2026/">Who will release a new album in 2026? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Who will release a new album in 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-release-a-new-album-in-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhowillreleaseanewalbumin2026, title = {Who will release a new album in 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-release-a-new-album-in-2026/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
