Kalshi odds todayEntertainment

Who will release a new album in 2026? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXALBUMRELEASE-26

As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Miley Cyrus at 99%, followed by Quavo at 97%, Taylor Swift at 96%. 456.1K contracts have traded, 21.0K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Miley Cyrus99%
·6.0K3.3K
Quavo97%
·11.1K8.4K
Taylor Swift96%
+27 pts34.8K19.0K
sombr80%
·9.0K5.3K
Lil Baby70%
·5.9K3.5K
EsDeeKid70%
-5 pts10.6K1.4K
Post Malone67%
·11.0K2.8K
2 Chainz64%
-2 pts4.3K4.1K
John Mayer60%
·7.3K2.3K
Megan Thee Stallion52%
-1 pts3.8K1.2K
Offset52%
-2 pts13.7K2.4K
Jay-Z45%
-4 pts10.1K5.8K
Rauw Alejandro45%
-9 pts1.1K550
Kendrick Lamar45%
+1 pts9.2K4.2K
Travis Scott44%
·6.7K3.3K
Bryson Tiller42%
·3.6K1.5K
Nicki Minaj42%
-9 pts3.0K1.8K
Ice Spice42%
·897711
Polo G41%
·1.6K1.6K
Calvin Harris40%
·5.8K3.6K

56 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 26Sep 24

Miley Cyrus Quavo Taylor Swift · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Taylor Swift releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A “new album”, must be an original composition first released during 2026, including new singles, unreleased tracks, or collaborations featuring new material. It may take the form of an LP or EP. Re-recordings (unless in a new language), remasters, radio edits, clean or explicit releases of the same underlying track(s), remixes, live versions, acoustic versions, instrumentals, demos, alternative takes, “artist version”-style releases, or any other full reproduction of a song already available on Spotify before 2026 does NOT meet the Payout Criterion. Additionally, uploading albums that have not previously been available on Spotify but have been widely publicly available before time period does NOT meet the Payout Criterion for a “new album””

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Who will release a new album in 2026?

As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Miley Cyrus at 99%, followed by Quavo at 97%, Taylor Swift at 96%. 456.1K contracts have traded, 21.0K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Who will release a new album in 2026 market close?

The listed close date is January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-release-a-new-album-in-2026/">Who will release a new album in 2026? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>

Free JSON

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APA

Who will release a new album in 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-release-a-new-album-in-2026/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhowillreleaseanewalbumin2026, title = {Who will release a new album in 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-release-a-new-album-in-2026/}}

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