Will Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 12, 2026 at 08:48 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXTRYFIRECOOK-27JAN01
As of October 12, 2026 at 08:48 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Apr 1, 2027 at 71%, followed by Before Jan 1, 2027 at 64%, Before Dec 1, 2026 at 38%. 67.9K contracts have traded, 24.1K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Before Apr 1, 2027 ■ Before Jan 1, 2027 ■ Before Dec 1, 2026 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the President of the United States has tried to fire Lisa Cook as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A "try to fire" includes any of the following: The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal The following do NOT qualify: Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is …”
What are the Kalshi odds for Will Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again?
As of October 12, 2026 at 08:48 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Apr 1, 2027 at 71%, followed by Before Jan 1, 2027 at 64%, Before Dec 1, 2026 at 38%. 67.9K contracts have traded, 24.1K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Will Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again market close?
The listed close dates range from November 1, 2026 to April 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Will Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 12). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 12, 2026 at 08:48 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-trump-try-to-fire-lisa-cook-again/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswilltrumptrytofirelisacookagain, title = {Will Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-12 08:48 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-trump-try-to-fire-lisa-cook-again/}}
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