Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXDIESELEXPORTBAN-26
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 24% (24¢ per contract), with 50.5K contracts traded in total and 40.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 24% | -17 pts | 50.5K | 27.1K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Yes · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the United States has imposed a ban on exports of diesel that has gone into effect after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 24% (24¢ per contract), with 50.5K contracts traded in total and 40.0K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is November 3, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/will-the-us-ban-diesel-exports-before-election-day/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-the-us-ban-diesel-exports-before-election-day/">Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/will-the-us-ban-diesel-exports-before-election-day.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-the-us-ban-diesel-exports-before-election-day/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswilltheusbandieselexportsbeforeelectionday, title = {Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-the-us-ban-diesel-exports-before-election-day/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-the-us-ban-diesel-exports-before-election-day/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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