Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms? Kalshi Odds: Yes 1.9% Today

Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXRETIREMM-26

Current odds

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

How this market settles

“If Mitch McConnell has resigned, retired, or otherwise voluntarily stepped down from their Congressional office, or announced their intent to resign, retire, or otherwise voluntarily step down from their office prematurely, after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.”

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Frequently asked questions

Outcome	Chance	24h change	Volume	Open interest
Yes	1.9%	-1 pts	3.8M	1.4M

What are the Kalshi odds for Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 1.9% (2¢ per contract), with 3.8M contracts traded in total and 7.3K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms market close?

The listed close date is November 3, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-mitch-mcconnell-resign-his-office-before-the-midterms/

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@misc{kalshiview2026marketswillmitchmcconnellresignhisofficebeforethemidterms, title = {Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-mitch-mcconnell-resign-his-office-before-the-midterms/}}

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