Snapshot September 25, 2026 at 08:55 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXRETIREMM-26
As of September 25, 2026 at 08:55 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 3.7% (4¢ per contract), with 3.7M contracts traded in total and 18.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3.7% | · | 3.7M | 1.4M |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Yes · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Mitch McConnell has resigned, retired, or otherwise voluntarily stepped down from their Congressional office, or announced their intent to resign, retire, or otherwise voluntarily step down from their office prematurely, after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of September 25, 2026 at 08:55 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 3.7% (4¢ per contract), with 3.7M contracts traded in total and 18.1K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is November 3, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/will-mitch-mcconnell-resign-his-office-before-the-midterms/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-mitch-mcconnell-resign-his-office-before-the-midterms/">Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/will-mitch-mcconnell-resign-his-office-before-the-midterms.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 25, 2026 at 08:55 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-mitch-mcconnell-resign-his-office-before-the-midterms/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswillmitchmcconnellresignhisofficebeforethemidterms, title = {Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-25 08:55 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-mitch-mcconnell-resign-his-office-before-the-midterms/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-mitch-mcconnell-resign-his-office-before-the-midterms/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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