Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 3 - Oct 4)? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot September 30, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Climate and Weather · Event KXRAINWKND-26OCT03
As of September 30, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is New Orleans at 98%, followed by Atlanta at 96%, Austin at 87%. 21.5K contracts have traded, 19.0K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ New Orleans ■ Atlanta · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the total precipitation at CLINYC in New York City on any day within October 3, 2026 through October 4, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Data for CLINYC can be found at https://weather.com/kalshi. “Trace” amounts (T) and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 3 - Oct 4)?
As of September 30, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is New Orleans at 98%, followed by Atlanta at 96%, Austin at 87%. 21.5K contracts have traded, 19.0K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 3 - Oct 4) market close?
The listed close dates range from October 5, 2026 to October 5, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/where-will-it-rain-this-weekend-oct-3-oct-4/">Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 3 - Oct 4)? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 3 - Oct 4)? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 30). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 30, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/where-will-it-rain-this-weekend-oct-3-oct-4/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswherewillitrainthisweekendoct3oct4, title = {Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 3 - Oct 4)? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-30 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/where-will-it-rain-this-weekend-oct-3-oct-4/}}
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