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Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 10 - Oct 11)? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Climate and Weather · Event KXRAINWKND-26OCT10

As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Atlanta at 100%, followed by Washington DC at 98%, West Palm Beach at 96%. 82.8K contracts have traded, 50.0K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Atlanta100%
+1 pts5.7K5.6K
Washington DC98%
·3.7K2.9K
West Palm Beach96%
·2.0K1.2K
Trenton95%
+3 pts6.9K5.3K
Philadelphia93%
-1 pts2.4K1.3K
Las Vegas92%
+15 pts1.6K1.1K
Newark90%
-4 pts10.4K7.9K
Phoenix90%
+8 pts959226
New York City84%
-6 pts9.1K8.0K
Los Angeles76%
+2 pts6.4K1.9K
New Orleans76%
-1 pts9.3K4.4K
Miami70%
-18 pts490308
Boston50%
-34 pts2.9K1.9K
Seattle27%
-6 pts2.8K1.5K
Chicago4.5%
-17 pts9.4K3.2K
Denver4.5%
-11 pts381302
Dallas3.5%
-2 pts1.6K911
Minneapolis3.5%
-11 pts975552
Oklahoma City3.5%
-1 pts349275
San Antonio3.5%
-5 pts228228

3 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 7Oct 8

■ Atlanta ■ Washington DC ■ West Palm Beach · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If the total precipitation at CLINYC in New York City on any day within October 10, 2026 through October 11, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Data for CLINYC can be found at https://weather.com/kalshi. “Trace” amounts (T) and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Climate and Weather markets

More on this topic: Weather odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 10 - Oct 11)?

As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Atlanta at 100%, followed by Washington DC at 98%, West Palm Beach at 96%. 82.8K contracts have traded, 50.0K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 10 - Oct 11) market close?

The listed close dates range from October 12, 2026 to October 12, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

Use this data

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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/where-will-it-rain-this-weekend-oct-10-oct-11/">Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 10 - Oct 11)? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>

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APA

Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 10 - Oct 11)? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/where-will-it-rain-this-weekend-oct-10-oct-11/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketswherewillitrainthisweekendoct10oct11, title = {Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 10 - Oct 11)? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/where-will-it-rain-this-weekend-oct-10-oct-11/}}

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