Kalshi odds today › Climate and Weather
Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Climate and Weather · Event KXRAINWKND-26OCT10
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Atlanta at 100%, followed by Washington DC at 98%, West Palm Beach at 96%. 82.8K contracts have traded, 50.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 100% | +1 pts | 5.7K | 5.6K |
| Washington DC | 98% | · | 3.7K | 2.9K |
| West Palm Beach | 96% | · | 2.0K | 1.2K |
| Trenton | 95% | +3 pts | 6.9K | 5.3K |
| Philadelphia | 93% | -1 pts | 2.4K | 1.3K |
| Las Vegas | 92% | +15 pts | 1.6K | 1.1K |
| Newark | 90% | -4 pts | 10.4K | 7.9K |
| Phoenix | 90% | +8 pts | 959 | 226 |
| New York City | 84% | -6 pts | 9.1K | 8.0K |
| Los Angeles | 76% | +2 pts | 6.4K | 1.9K |
| New Orleans | 76% | -1 pts | 9.3K | 4.4K |
| Miami | 70% | -18 pts | 490 | 308 |
| Boston | 50% | -34 pts | 2.9K | 1.9K |
| Seattle | 27% | -6 pts | 2.8K | 1.5K |
| Chicago | 4.5% | -17 pts | 9.4K | 3.2K |
| Denver | 4.5% | -11 pts | 381 | 302 |
| Dallas | 3.5% | -2 pts | 1.6K | 911 |
| Minneapolis | 3.5% | -11 pts | 975 | 552 |
| Oklahoma City | 3.5% | -1 pts | 349 | 275 |
| San Antonio | 3.5% | -5 pts | 228 | 228 |
3 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Atlanta ■ Washington DC ■ West Palm Beach · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the total precipitation at CLINYC in New York City on any day within October 10, 2026 through October 11, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Data for CLINYC can be found at https://weather.com/kalshi. “Trace” amounts (T) and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
More on this topic: Weather odds on Kalshi
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Atlanta at 100%, followed by Washington DC at 98%, West Palm Beach at 96%. 82.8K contracts have traded, 50.0K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close dates range from October 12, 2026 to October 12, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/where-will-it-rain-this-weekend-oct-10-oct-11/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 10 - Oct 11)? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/where-will-it-rain-this-weekend-oct-10-oct-11/">Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 10 - Oct 11)? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketswherewillitrainthisweekendoct10oct11, title = {Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 10 - Oct 11)? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/where-will-it-rain-this-weekend-oct-10-oct-11/}}HTML credit
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