Snapshot September 25, 2026 at 19:55 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXTRUMPAIRENAME-26SEP
As of September 25, 2026 at 19:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Nov 1, 2026 at 37%, followed by Before Oct 1, 2026 at 30%. 49.8K contracts have traded, 18.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 37% | +3 pts | 18.1K | 8.5K |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 30% | +5 pts | 31.7K | 14.8K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Before Nov 1, 2026 ■ Before Oct 1, 2026 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Donald Trump formally adopts or directs adoption of a replacement name for Artificial Intelligence or AI for United States official use through a personally signed presidential action after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, …”
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More on this topic: Trump odds on Kalshi · AI odds on Kalshi
As of September 25, 2026 at 19:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Nov 1, 2026 at 37%, followed by Before Oct 1, 2026 at 30%. 49.8K contracts have traded, 18.3K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close dates range from October 1, 2026 to November 1, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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When will Trump officially rename AI? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 25, 2026 at 19:55 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-trump-officially-rename-ai/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhenwilltrumpofficiallyrenameai, title = {When will Trump officially rename AI? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-25 19:55 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-trump-officially-rename-ai/}}HTML credit
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