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When will Trump officially rename AI? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 25, 2026 at 19:55 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXTRUMPAIRENAME-26SEP

As of September 25, 2026 at 19:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Nov 1, 2026 at 37%, followed by Before Oct 1, 2026 at 30%. 49.8K contracts have traded, 18.3K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Before Nov 1, 202637%
+3 pts18.1K8.5K
Before Oct 1, 202630%
+5 pts31.7K14.8K

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 22Sep 25

■ Before Nov 1, 2026 ■ Before Oct 1, 2026 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Donald Trump formally adopts or directs adoption of a replacement name for Artificial Intelligence or AI for United States official use through a personally signed presidential action after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, …”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Politics markets

More on this topic: Trump odds on Kalshi · AI odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for When will Trump officially rename AI?

As of September 25, 2026 at 19:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Nov 1, 2026 at 37%, followed by Before Oct 1, 2026 at 30%. 49.8K contracts have traded, 18.3K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the When will Trump officially rename AI market close?

The listed close dates range from October 1, 2026 to November 1, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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When will Trump officially rename AI? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 25, 2026 at 19:55 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-trump-officially-rename-ai/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhenwilltrumpofficiallyrenameai, title = {When will Trump officially rename AI? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-25 19:55 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-trump-officially-rename-ai/}}

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