Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXNYCSUBWAY-26OCT31
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 4.1 million at 94%, followed by Above 4.2 million at 90%, Above 4.3 million at 66%. 89.5K contracts have traded, 2.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.1 million | 94% | · | 6.8K | 1.5K |
| Above 4.2 million | 90% | · | 35.6K | 4.1K |
| Above 4.3 million | 66% | +2 pts | 9.7K | 1.9K |
| Above 4.4 million | 24% | -6 pts | 6.6K | 2.8K |
| Above 4.5 million | 9.5% | · | 30.9K | 2.7K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Above 4.1 million ■ Above 4.2 million ■ Above 4.3 million · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series is above 4.1 million in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.”
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As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 4.1 million at 94%, followed by Above 4.2 million at 90%, Above 4.3 million at 66%. 89.5K contracts have traded, 2.1K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is November 10, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/what-will-nyc-subway-average-weekday-ridership-be-in-october-2026/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-nyc-subway-average-weekday-ridership-be-in-october-2026/">What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 29). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-nyc-subway-average-weekday-ridership-be-in-october-2026/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwillnycsubwayaverageweekdayridershipbeinoctober2026, title = {What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-nyc-subway-average-weekday-ridership-be-in-october-2026/}}HTML credit
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