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What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXNYCSUBWAY-26OCT31

As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 4.1 million at 94%, followed by Above 4.2 million at 90%, Above 4.3 million at 66%. 89.5K contracts have traded, 2.1K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Above 4.1 million94%
·6.8K1.5K
Above 4.2 million90%
·35.6K4.1K
Above 4.3 million66%
+2 pts9.7K1.9K
Above 4.4 million24%
-6 pts6.6K2.8K
Above 4.5 million9.5%
·30.9K2.7K

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 31Sep 29

■ Above 4.1 million ■ Above 4.2 million ■ Above 4.3 million · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series is above 4.1 million in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?

As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 4.1 million at 94%, followed by Above 4.2 million at 90%, Above 4.3 million at 66%. 89.5K contracts have traded, 2.1K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026 market close?

The listed close date is November 10, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 29). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-nyc-subway-average-weekday-ridership-be-in-october-2026/

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@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwillnycsubwayaverageweekdayridershipbeinoctober2026, title = {What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-nyc-subway-average-weekday-ridership-be-in-october-2026/}}

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