Kalshi odds today › Climate and Weather
Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Climate and Weather · Event KXFIRSTHURRICANE-26DEC01ATL
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Gonzalo at 28%, followed by Hanna at 27%, Isaias at 9.0%. 692.4K contracts have traded, 29.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzalo | 28% | -4 pts | 17.1K | 6.9K |
| Hanna | 27% | +2 pts | 9.9K | 5.2K |
| Isaias | 9.0% | +1 pts | 6.9K | 4.2K |
| Josephine | 7.0% | · | 8.7K | 5.1K |
| Kyle | 6.5% | · | 5.9K | 3.1K |
| Marco | 4.0% | · | 7.5K | 3.0K |
| Fay | 3.0% | +2 pts | 94.4K | 46.7K |
| Nana | 2.0% | +1 pts | 10.0K | 4.4K |
| Bertha | 1.0% | · | 152.3K | 64.3K |
| Arthur | 1.0% | · | 133.1K | 105.3K |
| Dolly | 1.0% | · | 115.2K | 37.3K |
| Edouard | 1.0% | · | 76.4K | 16.8K |
| Cristobal | 1.0% | · | 24.2K | 16.4K |
| Omar | 1.0% | · | 9.1K | 3.6K |
| Leah | 1.0% | · | 4.7K | 2.6K |
| Vicky | 1.0% | · | 3.8K | 2.1K |
| Rene | 1.0% | · | 3.6K | 2.1K |
| Wilfred | 1.0% | · | 2.8K | 2.1K |
| Sally | 1.0% | · | 2.5K | 2.0K |
| Paulette | 1.0% | · | 2.3K | 2.1K |
1 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Gonzalo ■ Hanna ■ Isaias · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If a storm named Arthur is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then all markets resolve to No.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Gonzalo at 28%, followed by Hanna at 27%, Isaias at 9.0%. 692.4K contracts have traded, 29.7K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is December 1, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/what-will-be-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-this-year/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-be-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-this-year/">What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/what-will-be-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-this-year.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-be-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-this-year/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhatwillbethenameofthefirsthurricaneintheatlanticthisyear, title = {What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-be-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-this-year/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/what-will-be-the-name-of-the-first-hurricane-in-the-atlantic-this-year/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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