Kalshi odds today › Science and Technology
Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Science and Technology · Event KXBABASHARE-26SEP28
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 5.8% at 90%, followed by Above 6.2% at 60%, Above 6.5% at 43%. 52.0K contracts have traded, 25.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 5.8% | 90% | -1 pts | 8.9K | 3.3K |
| Above 6.2% | 60% | +1 pts | 2.3K | 2.1K |
| Above 6.5% | 43% | · | 5.5K | 502 |
| Above 6.6% | 36% | -3 pts | 2.8K | 2.7K |
| Above 6.7% | 27% | -3 pts | 3.7K | 3.7K |
| Above 6.8% | 24% | +1 pts | 4.2K | 3.7K |
| Above 6.9% | 20% | +9 pts | 11.6K | 525 |
| Above 7.3% | 13% | +3 pts | 7.4K | 2.1K |
| Above 7.8% | 6.5% | +3 pts | 5.6K | 3.3K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Above 5.8% ■ Above 6.2% ■ Above 6.5% · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Qwen scores above 5.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Sep 21, 2026. If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 5.8% at 90%, followed by Above 6.2% at 60%, Above 6.5% at 43%. 52.0K contracts have traded, 25.3K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is September 28, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/qwen-market-share-this-week/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Qwen market share this week Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/qwen-market-share-this-week/">Qwen market share this week odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/qwen-market-share-this-week.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
Qwen market share this week: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/qwen-market-share-this-week/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsqwenmarketsharethisweek, title = {Qwen market share this week: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/qwen-market-share-this-week/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/qwen-market-share-this-week/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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