Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event GOVPARTYNY-26
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Kathy Hochul at 95%, followed by Bruce Blakeman at 5.2%. 2.1M contracts have traded, 25.8K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Kathy Hochul ■ Bruce Blakeman · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of New York pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.”
What are the Kalshi odds for New York Governor winner?
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Kathy Hochul at 95%, followed by Bruce Blakeman at 5.2%. 2.1M contracts have traded, 25.8K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the New York Governor winner market close?
The listed close date is November 3, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/new-york-governor-winner/">New York Governor winner? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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New York Governor winner? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/new-york-governor-winner/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsnewyorkgovernorwinner, title = {New York Governor winner? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/new-york-governor-winner/}}
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