Settled or closed · Category: Elections · Event KXEXITPOLLISSUE-26NOV06
This event has no open markets at the last update (November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC). Kalshi lists Economy and cost of living as settled Yes.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll maps to Economy and cost of living, then the market resolves to Yes. The issue voters rank most important is the strike with the highest value, where a strike's value is the sum of the percentages of all voters for every answer choice that maps to it on the national U.S. House exit poll's most-important-issue question as displayed by the source, whatever its exact title. If more than one such question is displayed, the one asking which issue mattered most to the respondent's vote governs. An answer choice maps to a strike only if its wording contains, as a whole word or phrase and ignoring capitalization and singular or plural form, one of the terms listed for that strike: economy, economic, inflation, price, cost, cost of living, affordability, affordable, job, tax, tariff or trade (Economy and cost of …”
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This event has no open markets at the last update (November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC). Kalshi lists Economy and cost of living as settled Yes.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is not listed. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/midterms-which-issue-matters-most-to-voters/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Midterms: which issue matters most to voters? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/midterms-which-issue-matters-most-to-voters/">Midterms: which issue matters most to voters? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/midterms-which-issue-matters-most-to-voters/"><img src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/midterms-which-issue-matters-most-to-voters/badge.svg" alt="Midterms: which issue matters most to voters? Kalshi odds" height="20"></a> [](https://kalshiview.com/markets/midterms-which-issue-matters-most-to-voters/)
/api/v1/markets/midterms-which-issue-matters-most-to-voters.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
Midterms: which issue matters most to voters? Kalshi Odds. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/midterms-which-issue-matters-most-to-voters/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsmidtermswhichissuemattersmosttovoters, title = {Midterms: which issue matters most to voters? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Nov}, note = {Snapshot 2026-11-07 16:22 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/midterms-which-issue-matters-most-to-voters/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/midterms-which-issue-matters-most-to-voters/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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