Snapshot September 25, 2026 at 15:49 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXEXITPOLLISSUE-26NOV06
As of September 25, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Economy and cost of living at 90%, followed by Iran war and foreign policy at 3.5%, Democracy at 3.0%. 42.0K contracts have traded, 42.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy and cost of living | 90% | · | 7.8K | 7.8K |
| Iran war and foreign policy | 3.5% | · | 8.9K | 8.0K |
| Democracy | 3.0% | · | 5.5K | 4.1K |
| Abortion | 2.5% | · | 5.6K | 3.8K |
| Crime | 2.5% | · | 5.6K | 3.8K |
| Immigration | 2.5% | · | 4.5K | 3.8K |
| Health care | 2.0% | · | 4.2K | 3.8K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll maps to Economy and cost of living, then the market resolves to Yes. The issue voters rank most important is the strike with the highest value, where a strike's value is the sum of the percentages of all voters for every answer choice that maps to it on the national U.S. House exit poll's most-important-issue question as displayed by the source, whatever its exact title. If more than one such question is displayed, the one asking which issue mattered most to the respondent's vote governs. An answer choice maps to a strike only if its wording contains, as a whole word or phrase and ignoring capitalization and singular or plural form, one of the terms listed for that strike: economy, economic, inflation, price, cost, cost of living, affordability, affordable, job, tax, tariff or trade (Economy and cost of …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of September 25, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Economy and cost of living at 90%, followed by Iran war and foreign policy at 3.5%, Democracy at 3.0%. 42.0K contracts have traded, 42.0K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is November 6, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/midterms-which-issue-matters-most-to-voters/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Midterms: which issue matters most to voters? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/midterms-which-issue-matters-most-to-voters/">Midterms: which issue matters most to voters? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/midterms-which-issue-matters-most-to-voters.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
Midterms: which issue matters most to voters? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 25, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/midterms-which-issue-matters-most-to-voters/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsmidtermswhichissuemattersmosttovoters, title = {Midterms: which issue matters most to voters? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-25 15:49 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/midterms-which-issue-matters-most-to-voters/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/midterms-which-issue-matters-most-to-voters/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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