Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXMAYORLA-26
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Nithya Raman at 57%, followed by Karen Bass at 42%. 34.5M contracts have traded, 1.1M in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Raman | 57% | +12 pts | 17.9M | 5.8M |
| Karen Bass | 42% | -13 pts | 16.6M | 6.3M |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Nithya Raman ■ Karen Bass · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Karen Bass wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Nithya Raman at 57%, followed by Karen Bass at 42%. 34.5M contracts have traded, 1.1M in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is June 2, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/los-angeles-mayor-winner/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Los Angeles Mayor winner? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/los-angeles-mayor-winner/">Los Angeles Mayor winner? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/los-angeles-mayor-winner.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
Los Angeles Mayor winner? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/los-angeles-mayor-winner/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketslosangelesmayorwinner, title = {Los Angeles Mayor winner? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/los-angeles-mayor-winner/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/los-angeles-mayor-winner/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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