Los Angeles Mayor winner? Kalshi Odds: Nithya Raman 56%

Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXMAYORLA-26

Current odds

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

Outcome	Chance	24h change	Volume	Open interest
Nithya Raman	56%	-3 pts	19.2M	6.4M
Karen Bass	44%	+2 pts	18.1M	7.0M

■ Nithya Raman ■ Karen Bass · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

“If Karen Bass wins the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.”

Related Elections markets

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Los Angeles Mayor winner?

As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Nithya Raman at 56%, followed by Karen Bass at 44%. 37.3M contracts have traded, 583.6K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Los Angeles Mayor winner market close?

The listed close date is June 2, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Los Angeles Mayor winner? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/los-angeles-mayor-winner/

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@misc{kalshiview2026marketslosangelesmayorwinner, title = {Los Angeles Mayor winner? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/los-angeles-mayor-winner/}}

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