Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXCAGOVLAMAYOR-26NOV
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra at 53%, followed by Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra at 50%, Nithya Raman and Steve Hilton at 3.0%. 31.0K contracts have traded, 2.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra | 53% | +11 pts | 16.2K | 8.4K |
| Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra | 50% | -10 pts | 8.1K | 5.4K |
| Nithya Raman and Steve Hilton | 3.0% | -1 pts | 3.1K | 2.0K |
| Karen Bass and Steve Hilton | 1.0% | -3 pts | 3.5K | 2.4K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra ■ Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra ■ Nithya Raman and Steve Hilton · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If ALL of the following occur for Nov 2026: Los Angeles Mayor: Karen Bass wins, California Governor: Xavier Becerra wins, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Los Angeles Mayor (USELECTION), California Governor (USELECTION).”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra at 53%, followed by Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra at 50%, Nithya Raman and Steve Hilton at 3.0%. 31.0K contracts have traded, 2.3K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is November 3, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/la-mayor-ca-governor-combo/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/la-mayor-ca-governor-combo/">LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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