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LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXCAGOVLAMAYOR-26NOV

As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra at 60%, followed by Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra at 39%, Karen Bass and Steve Hilton at 1.5%. 37.6K contracts have traded, 436 in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra60%
·18.4K8.6K
Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra39%
+3 pts9.6K6.5K
Karen Bass and Steve Hilton1.5%
·4.9K3.6K
Nithya Raman and Steve Hilton1.5%
·4.7K3.2K

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 9Oct 8

■ Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra ■ Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra ■ Karen Bass and Steve Hilton · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If ALL of the following occur for Nov 2026: Los Angeles Mayor: Karen Bass wins, California Governor: Xavier Becerra wins, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Los Angeles Mayor (USELECTION), California Governor (USELECTION).”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Elections markets

More on this topic: Governor races odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo?

As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra at 60%, followed by Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra at 39%, Karen Bass and Steve Hilton at 1.5%. 37.6K contracts have traded, 436 in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo market close?

The listed close date is November 3, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/la-mayor-ca-governor-combo/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketslamayorcagovernorcombo, title = {LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/la-mayor-ca-governor-combo/}}

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