Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXKASHOUT-26APR
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Dec 1, 2026 at 16%, followed by Before Nov 1, 2026 at 8.5%, Before Oct 1, 2026 at 2.5%. 863.5K contracts have traded, 4.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 16% | -1 pts | 85.1K | 38.3K |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 8.5% | +1 pts | 66.2K | 36.0K |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 2.5% | +2 pts | 35.3K | 20.9K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Before Dec 1, 2026 ■ Before Nov 1, 2026 ■ Before Oct 1, 2026 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kash Patel must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Dec 1, 2026 at 16%, followed by Before Nov 1, 2026 at 8.5%, Before Oct 1, 2026 at 2.5%. 863.5K contracts have traded, 4.1K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close dates range from October 1, 2026 to December 1, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/kash-patel-out-as-fbi-director/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Kash Patel out as FBI Director? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/kash-patel-out-as-fbi-director/">Kash Patel out as FBI Director? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/kash-patel-out-as-fbi-director.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).