Snapshot October 12, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXIAETHANOL-27JAN31
As of October 12, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 4.3 billion gallons at 96%, followed by Above 4.4 billion gallons at 94%, Above 4.5 billion gallons at 78%. 93.1K contracts have traded, 41.0K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above 4.3 billion gallons ■ Above 4.4 billion gallons ■ Above 4.5 billion gallons · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If IRFA reports that Iowa ethanol production for calendar year 2026 is above 4.3 billion gallons, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Iowa Renewable Fuels Association’s reported Iowa ethanol production for calendar year 2026, measured in gallons.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Iowa ethanol production in 2026?
As of October 12, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 4.3 billion gallons at 96%, followed by Above 4.4 billion gallons at 94%, Above 4.5 billion gallons at 78%. 93.1K contracts have traded, 41.0K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Iowa ethanol production in 2026 market close?
The listed close date is January 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Iowa ethanol production in 2026: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 12). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 12, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/iowa-ethanol-production-in-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsiowaethanolproductionin2026, title = {Iowa ethanol production in 2026: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-12 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/iowa-ethanol-production-in-2026/}}
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