Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Climate and Weather · Event KXHURCAT-26ISAIAS
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Category 2 or above at 100%, followed by Category 1 or above at 100%, Category 3 or above at 56%. 118.7K contracts have traded, 95.6K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Category 2 or above ■ Category 1 or above ■ Category 3 or above · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Isaias reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 74 mph, then the market resolves to Yes. Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Hurricane Isaias category?
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Category 2 or above at 100%, followed by Category 1 or above at 100%, Category 3 or above at 56%. 118.7K contracts have traded, 95.6K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Hurricane Isaias category market close?
The listed close date is December 2, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Hurricane Isaias category? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/hurricane-isaias-category/
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
