Kalshi odds today › Climate and Weather
Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 19:49 UTC · Category: Climate and Weather · Event KXHURCAT-26FAY
As of September 24, 2026 at 19:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Category 1 or above at 4.5%, followed by Category 3 or above at 2.0%, Category 2 or above at 1.0%. 38.7K contracts have traded, 23.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Category 1 or above | 4.5% | +6 pts | 28.3K | 10.8K |
| Category 3 or above | 2.0% | +1 pts | 3.1K | 2.4K |
| Category 2 or above | 1.0% | -2 pts | 6.2K | 3.3K |
| Category 5 or above | 1.0% | · | 760 | 540 |
| Category 4 or above | 1.0% | · | 300 | 228 |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Category 1 or above ■ Category 3 or above ■ Category 2 or above · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Fay reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 74 mph, then the market resolves to Yes. Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 19:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Category 1 or above at 4.5%, followed by Category 3 or above at 2.0%, Category 2 or above at 1.0%. 38.7K contracts have traded, 23.4K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is December 2, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/hurricane-fay-category/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Hurricane Fay category? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/hurricane-fay-category/">Hurricane Fay category? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/hurricane-fay-category.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
Hurricane Fay category? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 19:49 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/hurricane-fay-category/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketshurricanefaycategory, title = {Hurricane Fay category? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 19:49 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/hurricane-fay-category/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/hurricane-fay-category/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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