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How many launches will SpaceX have in September? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Science and Technology · Event KXSPACEXCOUNT-26SEP

As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 7 at 72%, followed by Above 8 at 1.5%, Above 9 at 1.5%. 631.1K contracts have traded, 39.5K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Above 772%
-4 pts17.3K7.1K
Above 81.5%
+2 pts124.7K41.4K
Above 91.5%
·102.0K46.0K
Above 101.0%
-1 pts178.6K89.7K
Above 111.0%
·95.5K50.8K
Above 121.0%
·74.7K30.5K
Above 131.0%
·25.1K9.9K
Above 141.0%
·4.9K3.0K
Above 151.0%
·4.7K3.3K
Above 181.0%
·1.9K1.6K
Above 171.0%
·1.0K1.0K
Above 161.0%
·569569

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 2Sep 24

Above 7 Above 8 Above 9 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If SpaceX has more than 7 launches in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for How many launches will SpaceX have in September?

As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 7 at 72%, followed by Above 8 at 1.5%, Above 9 at 1.5%. 631.1K contracts have traded, 39.5K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the How many launches will SpaceX have in September market close?

The listed close date is October 1, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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APA

How many launches will SpaceX have in September? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-many-launches-will-spacex-have-in-september/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketshowmanylauncheswillspacexhaveinseptember, title = {How many launches will SpaceX have in September? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-many-launches-will-spacex-have-in-september/}}

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