How many launches will SpaceX have in October? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 9, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Science and Technology · Event KXSPACEXCOUNT-26OCT
As of October 9, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 6 at 98%, followed by Above 7 at 97%, Above 8 at 90%. 101.0K contracts have traded, 23.3K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above 6 ■ Above 7 ■ Above 8 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If SpaceX has more than 6 launches in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.”
What are the Kalshi odds for How many launches will SpaceX have in October?
As of October 9, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 6 at 98%, followed by Above 7 at 97%, Above 8 at 90%. 101.0K contracts have traded, 23.3K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the How many launches will SpaceX have in October market close?
The listed close date is November 1, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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How many launches will SpaceX have in October? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 9). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 9, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-many-launches-will-spacex-have-in-october/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketshowmanylauncheswillspacexhaveinoctober, title = {How many launches will SpaceX have in October? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-09 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-many-launches-will-spacex-have-in-october/}}
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