Florida Governor winner? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Elections · Event GOVPARTYFL-26

As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Byron Donalds at 74%, followed by David Jolly at 26%. 2.2M contracts have traded, 67.6K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	24h change	Volume	Open interest
Byron Donalds	74%	-3 pts	1.5M	1.3M
David Jolly	26%	+3 pts	654.5K	466.3K

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

■ Byron Donalds ■ David Jolly · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Florida pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Florida Governor winner?

As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Byron Donalds at 74%, followed by David Jolly at 26%. 2.2M contracts have traded, 67.6K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Florida Governor winner market close?

The listed close date is November 3, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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