Snapshot October 12, 2026 at 08:48 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXDIESELELECT-26NOV03
As of October 12, 2026 at 08:48 UTC, the leading outcome is Above $4.40 at 98%, followed by Above $5.00 at 98%, Above $4.60 at 98%. 107.9K contracts have traded, 22.0K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above $5.00 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 is above $4.40, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the value shown in the “Diesel” column of the “Current Avg.” row in AAA’s National Average Gas Prices table for November 3, 2026. “Election Day” refers specifically to November 3, 2026. The market is based on the single daily value for that date, not an average calculated during voting hours or over any longer period.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Diesel price on Election Day?
As of October 12, 2026 at 08:48 UTC, the leading outcome is Above $4.40 at 98%, followed by Above $5.00 at 98%, Above $4.60 at 98%. 107.9K contracts have traded, 22.0K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Diesel price on Election Day market close?
The listed close date is November 3, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Use this data
Embed these odds
Paste on your site or newsletter; it updates with this page.
<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/diesel-price-on-election-day/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Diesel price on Election Day Kalshi odds"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/diesel-price-on-election-day/">Diesel price on Election Day odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
Image badge for READMEs, forums and newsletters that block iframes (HTML or Markdown):
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/diesel-price-on-election-day/"><img src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/diesel-price-on-election-day/badge.svg" alt="Diesel price on Election Day Kalshi odds" height="20"></a>
[](https://kalshiview.com/markets/diesel-price-on-election-day/)
Diesel price on Election Day: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 12). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 12, 2026 at 08:48 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/diesel-price-on-election-day/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsdieselpriceonelectionday, title = {Diesel price on Election Day: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-12 08:48 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/diesel-price-on-election-day/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
