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DeepSeek market share this week: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Science and Technology · Event KXDEEPSHARE-26OCT05

As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 22.0% at 47%, followed by Above 23.0% at 31%, Above 23.7% at 14%. 51.7K contracts have traded, 46.7K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Above 22.0%47%
·7.3K4.7K
Above 23.0%31%
·11.6K7.3K
Above 23.7%14%
·10.0K6.2K
Above 24.0%8.0%
·3.4K2.0K
Above 24.2%4.5%
·8.8K5.4K
Above 24.4%4.0%
·2.9K1.7K
Above 24.7%2.5%
·3.9K2.0K
Above 25.5%1.5%
·2.6K1.2K
Above 26.7%1.5%
·1.1K1.1K

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If DeepSeek scores above 22.0% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Sep 28, 2026. If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for DeepSeek market share this week?

As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 22.0% at 47%, followed by Above 23.0% at 31%, Above 23.7% at 14%. 51.7K contracts have traded, 46.7K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the DeepSeek market share this week market close?

The listed close date is October 5, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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DeepSeek market share this week: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 29). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/deepseek-market-share-this-week-kxdeepshare-26oct05/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketsdeepseekmarketsharethisweekkxdeepshare26oct05, title = {DeepSeek market share this week: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/deepseek-market-share-this-week-kxdeepshare-26oct05/}}

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