2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXBALANCEPOWERCOMBO-27FEB
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Democrats sweep at 60%, followed by D-House, R-Senate at 30%, Republicans sweep at 11%. 36.2M contracts have traded, 674.6K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Democrats sweep ■ D-House, R-Senate ■ Republicans sweep · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If ALL of the following occur: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: House Control uses CONTROL, Senate Control uses CONTROL. Each CONTROL component may resolve on an accelerated basis as outlined in the full rules.”
What are the Kalshi odds for 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Democrats sweep at 60%, followed by D-House, R-Senate at 30%, Republicans sweep at 11%. 36.2M contracts have traded, 674.6K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power market close?
The listed close date is February 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Use this data
Embed these odds
Paste on your site or newsletter; it updates with this page.
<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/2026-midterms-congress-balance-of-power/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? Kalshi odds"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/2026-midterms-congress-balance-of-power/">2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
Image badge for READMEs, forums and newsletters that block iframes (HTML or Markdown):
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/2026-midterms-congress-balance-of-power/"><img src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/2026-midterms-congress-balance-of-power/badge.svg" alt="2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? Kalshi odds" height="20"></a>
[](https://kalshiview.com/markets/2026-midterms-congress-balance-of-power/)
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 10). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/2026-midterms-congress-balance-of-power/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026markets2026midtermscongressbalanceofpower, title = {2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-10 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/2026-midterms-congress-balance-of-power/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
