Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXBALANCEPOWERCOMBO-27FEB
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Democrats sweep at 64%, followed by D-House, R-Senate at 28%, Republicans sweep at 7.5%. 20.4M contracts have traded, 850.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrats sweep | 64% | +1 pts | 3.8M | 2.3M |
| D-House, R-Senate | 28% | -1 pts | 2.9M | 1.7M |
| Republicans sweep | 7.5% | -1 pts | 8.9M | 6.5M |
| R-House, D-Senate | 0.8% | · | 4.8M | 3.5M |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Democrats sweep ■ D-House, R-Senate ■ Republicans sweep · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If ALL of the following occur: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: House Control uses CONTROL, Senate Control uses CONTROL. Each CONTROL component may resolve on an accelerated basis as outlined in the full rules.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Democrats sweep at 64%, followed by D-House, R-Senate at 28%, Republicans sweep at 7.5%. 20.4M contracts have traded, 850.8K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is February 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/2026-midterms-congress-balance-of-power/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/2026-midterms-congress-balance-of-power/">2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/2026-midterms-congress-balance-of-power.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).