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Will any federal judges be confirmed in Oct 2026? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXJUDGECOUNT-26OCT

As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 1.0% (1¢ per contract), with 36.4K contracts traded in total and 36.4K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Yes1.0%
·36.4K36.4K

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If above 0 federal judges are confirmed after Oct 1, 2026 and before Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The positions that are eligible for inclusion are: Supreme Court justices Court of Federal Claims judges U.S. Court of Appeals judges U.S. District Court (including territorial courts) judges Judges for the following courts are NOT included: U.S. Court of International Trade U.S. Tax Court U.S. Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims U.S. Court of Appeals for the Armed Forces U.S. Court of Military Commission Review District of Columbia local courts (D.C. Court of Appeals and Superior Court of the District of Columbia)”

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Will any federal judges be confirmed in Oct 2026?

As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 1.0% (1¢ per contract), with 36.4K contracts traded in total and 36.4K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Will any federal judges be confirmed in Oct 2026 market close?

The listed close date is November 1, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Will any federal judges be confirmed in Oct 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 4). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-any-federal-judges-be-confirmed-in-oct-2026/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketswillanyfederaljudgesbeconfirmedinoct2026, title = {Will any federal judges be confirmed in Oct 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-04 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-any-federal-judges-be-confirmed-in-oct-2026/}}

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