Kalshi odds today › Entertainment
Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXBOND-30
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Callum Turner at 44%, followed by Jack Lowden at 42%, Josh O'Connor at 17%. 2.4M contracts have traded, 8.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Turner | 44% | -8 pts | 555.6K | 292.0K |
| Jack Lowden | 42% | +3 pts | 177.4K | 88.4K |
| Josh O'Connor | 17% | +12 pts | 118.8K | 37.7K |
| Jack Barton | 11% | -1 pts | 39.9K | 26.6K |
| Jack O'Connell | 11% | · | 17.1K | 13.4K |
| Harris Dickinson | 10% | +1 pts | 117.1K | 55.2K |
| George MacKay | 8.5% | +2 pts | 8.5K | 8.0K |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson | 6.5% | · | 281.9K | 136.9K |
| Tom Francis | 4.5% | · | 48.0K | 26.8K |
| Jonathan Bailey | 4.0% | · | 24.4K | 12.3K |
| Nicholas Galitzine | 4.0% | · | 899 | 759 |
| Jacob Elordi | 3.5% | +1 pts | 287.9K | 111.5K |
| Henry Cavill | 3.5% | · | 107.5K | 41.6K |
| Theo James | 3.5% | -2 pts | 86.4K | 44.2K |
| Damson Idris | 3.5% | +1 pts | 51.3K | 22.4K |
| Nicholas Hoult | 3.0% | · | 24.1K | 13.5K |
| Scott Rose-Marsh | 3.0% | · | 17.0K | 9.5K |
| Robert Pattinson | 3.0% | · | 6.9K | 3.3K |
| James Norton | 2.5% | -1 pts | 40.4K | 17.5K |
| Regé-Jean Page | 2.5% | · | 23.8K | 9.3K |
10 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Callum Turner ■ Jack Lowden ■ Josh O'Connor · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Aaron Pierre is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Callum Turner at 44%, followed by Jack Lowden at 42%, Josh O'Connor at 17%. 2.4M contracts have traded, 8.4K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is January 1, 2030. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/next-james-bond-film-actor-cast-as-james-bond/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/next-james-bond-film-actor-cast-as-james-bond/">Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/next-james-bond-film-actor-cast-as-james-bond.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).