Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond: Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXBOND-30
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Callum Turner at 44%, followed by Jack Lowden at 36%, Jack O'Connell at 14%. 2.5M contracts have traded, 19.0K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Callum Turner ■ Jack Lowden ■ Jack O'Connell · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Aaron Pierre is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond?
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Callum Turner at 44%, followed by Jack Lowden at 36%, Jack O'Connell at 14%. 2.5M contracts have traded, 19.0K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond market close?
The listed close date is January 1, 2030. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 10). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/next-james-bond-film-actor-cast-as-james-bond/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsnextjamesbondfilmactorcastasjamesbond, title = {Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-10 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/next-james-bond-film-actor-cast-as-james-bond/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
