Snapshot October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXOSCARPIC-27
As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is The Odyssey at 52%, followed by The Black Ball at 29%, Dune: Part Three at 9.5%. 7.9M contracts have traded, 18.8K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ The Odyssey ■ The Black Ball ■ Dune: Part Three · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If The Odyssey has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Oscar Winner: Best Picture?
As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is The Odyssey at 52%, followed by The Black Ball at 29%, Dune: Part Three at 9.5%. 7.9M contracts have traded, 18.8K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Oscar Winner: Best Picture market close?
The listed close date is December 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-winner-best-picture/">Oscar Winner: Best Picture odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Oscar Winner: Best Picture: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 5). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-winner-best-picture/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsoscarwinnerbestpicture, title = {Oscar Winner: Best Picture: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-05 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-winner-best-picture/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
