Kalshi odds today › Entertainment
Snapshot September 25, 2026 at 15:49 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXTIME-26
As of September 25, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Zohran Mamdani at 29%, followed by Mark Carney at 24%, Pope Leo XIV at 9.5%. 1.5M contracts have traded, 20.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani | 29% | +1 pts | 753.5K | 349.0K |
| Mark Carney | 24% | +2 pts | 13.4K | 11.6K |
| Pope Leo XIV | 9.5% | +3 pts | 169.0K | 79.9K |
| Donald Trump | 9.5% | +1 pts | 150.6K | 79.2K |
| AI | 8.5% | · | 156.3K | 69.6K |
| Dario Amodei | 8.0% | · | 19.9K | 11.2K |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 7.5% | · | 8.5K | 6.6K |
| Mojtaba Khamenei | 6.0% | +2 pts | 3.8K | 1.6K |
| Jeremy Hansen | 5.5% | · | 4.5K | 1.7K |
| Elon Musk | 5.5% | · | 33.6K | 16.8K |
| Sam Altman | 5.5% | · | 26.3K | 11.5K |
| James Talarico | 5.5% | -1 pts | 5.9K | 2.7K |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 5.5% | · | 1.3K | 755 |
| Reid Wiseman | 5.0% | +1 pts | 10.7K | 5.1K |
| Victor Glover | 5.0% | · | 3.4K | 1.1K |
| JD Vance | 5.0% | · | 517 | 517 |
| ChatGPT | 4.5% | · | 17.0K | 7.9K |
| Lionel Messi | 4.5% | +1 pts | 12.4K | 7.3K |
| Christina Koch | 4.5% | -3 pts | 5.5K | 2.3K |
| Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf | 4.5% | -1 pts | 4.5K | 1.8K |
17 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Zohran Mamdani ■ Mark Carney ■ Pope Leo XIV · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion. If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion. The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning). Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”. Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005. If Time uses language that does not specifically …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of September 25, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Zohran Mamdani at 29%, followed by Mark Carney at 24%, Pope Leo XIV at 9.5%. 1.5M contracts have traded, 20.9K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/time-s-person-of-the-year-for-2026/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Time's Person of the Year for 2026 Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/time-s-person-of-the-year-for-2026/">Time's Person of the Year for 2026 odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/time-s-person-of-the-year-for-2026.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
Time's Person of the Year for 2026: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 25, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/time-s-person-of-the-year-for-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketstimespersonoftheyearfor2026, title = {Time's Person of the Year for 2026: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-25 15:49 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/time-s-person-of-the-year-for-2026/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/time-s-person-of-the-year-for-2026/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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