Snapshot October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXTIME-26
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Zohran Mamdani at 29%, followed by Mark Carney at 16%, Pope Leo XIV at 9.5%. 1.8M contracts have traded, 8.6K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Zohran Mamdani ■ Mark Carney ■ Pope Leo XIV · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion. If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion. The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning). Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”. Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005. If Time uses language that does not specifically …”
What are the Kalshi odds for Time's Person of the Year for 2026?
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Zohran Mamdani at 29%, followed by Mark Carney at 16%, Pope Leo XIV at 9.5%. 1.8M contracts have traded, 8.6K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Time's Person of the Year for 2026 market close?
The listed close date is January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Use this data
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/time-s-person-of-the-year-for-2026/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Time's Person of the Year for 2026 Kalshi odds"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/time-s-person-of-the-year-for-2026/">Time's Person of the Year for 2026 odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Time's Person of the Year for 2026: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 10). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/time-s-person-of-the-year-for-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketstimespersonoftheyearfor2026, title = {Time's Person of the Year for 2026: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-10 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/time-s-person-of-the-year-for-2026/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
