Kalshi odds today › Entertainment
Snapshot October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31
As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Dua Lipa at 88%, followed by Tame Impala at 86%, Drake at 55%. 399.4K contracts have traded, 4.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dua Lipa | 88% | +3 pts | 29.5K | 17.3K |
| Tame Impala | 86% | -3 pts | 12.9K | 8.0K |
| Drake | 55% | +18 pts | 25.2K | 10.6K |
| SZA | 44% | +43 pts | 13.7K | 5.5K |
| Fred again.. | 40% | +34 pts | 43.7K | 20.9K |
| Olivia Dean | 12% | · | 5.1K | 2.5K |
| Radiohead | 11% | +7 pts | 22.6K | 12.5K |
| Madonna | 11% | +4 pts | 699 | 541 |
| Lil Baby | 10% | · | 9 | 9 |
| Rihanna | 9.5% | +2 pts | 4.6K | 2.3K |
| BLACKPINK | 9.0% | · | 36 | 36 |
| Tate McRae | 8.5% | -4 pts | 4.7K | 2.2K |
| Olivia Rodrigo | 8.0% | +18 pts | 57.1K | 22.5K |
| Linkin Park | 8.0% | · | 25 | 24 |
| Post Malone | 7.0% | · | 126 | 113 |
| Charli xcx | 6.5% | · | 5.4K | 3.0K |
| Daft Punk | 6.0% | · | 16.2K | 8.3K |
| Future | 6.0% | · | 979 | 823 |
| Lana Del Rey | 6.0% | · | 202 | 46 |
| Lil Uzi Vert | 6.0% | · | 118 | 12 |
96 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Dua Lipa ■ Tame Impala ■ Drake · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Drake is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Dua Lipa at 88%, followed by Tame Impala at 86%, Drake at 55%. 399.4K contracts have traded, 4.4K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is December 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Who will headline Coachella 2027? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 5). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-headline-coachella-2027/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhowillheadlinecoachella2027, title = {Who will headline Coachella 2027? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-05 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-headline-coachella-2027/}}HTML credit
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