Snapshot October 12, 2026 at 08:48 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXACTBLUETOP-26OCT16
As of October 12, 2026 at 08:48 UTC, the leading outcome is James Talarico at 85%, followed by Abdul El-Sayed at 4.5%, Jon Ossoff at 3.5%. 41.3K contracts have traded, 31.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Talarico | 85% | -2 pts | 2.3K | 1.5K |
| Abdul El-Sayed | 4.5% | · | 2.3K | 1.6K |
| Jon Ossoff | 3.5% | · | 1.8K | 1.2K |
| Sherrod Brown | 1.5% | · | 997 | 997 |
| Troy Jackson | 1.5% | · | 997 | 997 |
| Angie Nixon | 1.0% | -1 pts | 27.9K | 27.1K |
| Mary Peltola | 1.0% | · | 4.9K | 4.9K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ James Talarico ■ Abdul El-Sayed ■ Jon Ossoff · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If James Talarico is the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Fundraiser rankings are determined by the “Top fundraisers from this week” list displayed on ActBlue’s official directory page. The leftmost candidate is considered the top fundraiser. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with ActBlue. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
As of October 12, 2026 at 08:48 UTC, the leading outcome is James Talarico at 85%, followed by Abdul El-Sayed at 4.5%, Jon Ossoff at 3.5%. 41.3K contracts have traded, 31.3K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is October 16, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/who-will-be-the-top-actblue-fundraiser-on-oct-16-2026/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-be-the-top-actblue-fundraiser-on-oct-16-2026/">Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 12). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 12, 2026 at 08:48 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-be-the-top-actblue-fundraiser-on-oct-16-2026/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhowillbethetopactbluefundraiseronoct162026, title = {Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-12 08:48 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-be-the-top-actblue-fundraiser-on-oct-16-2026/}}HTML credit
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