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Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/27-10/3): Kalshi Odds
Settled or closed · Category: Politics · Event KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26OCT03
This event has no open markets at the last update (October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC). Kalshi lists 140-159 as settled Yes.
Result
- <80: settled No
- 80-99: settled No
- 100-119: settled No
- 120-139: settled No
- 140-159: settled Yes
- 160-179: settled No
- 180-199: settled No
- 200-219: settled No
- 220-240: settled No
- >240: settled No
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Sep 27, 2026 to Oct 3, 2026 is below 80, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The observation period begins at 12:00 AM ET on Sep 27, 2026 and ends at 11:59 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. The post count will be recorded at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 4, 2026. Payout criteria Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included if captured by Roll Call. "Between" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound. Doesn’t count for payout: Posts deleted as of the Expiration Time.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi odds for Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/27-10/3)?
This event has no open markets at the last update (October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC). Kalshi lists 140-159 as settled Yes.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/27-10/3) market close?
The listed close date is not listed. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/trump-truth-social-posts-this-week-9-27-10-3/">Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/27-10/3) odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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APA
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/27-10/3): Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 6). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/trump-truth-social-posts-this-week-9-27-10-3/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketstrumptruthsocialpoststhisweek927103, title = {Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/27-10/3): Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-06 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/trump-truth-social-posts-this-week-9-27-10-3/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/trump-truth-social-posts-this-week-9-27-10-3/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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