Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18): Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXSUEZWEEKLY-26OCT18
As of October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 260 at 98%, followed by Above 270 at 94%, Above 280 at 86%. 114.5K contracts have traded, 56.0K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above 260 ■ Above 270 ■ Above 280 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 260 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)?
As of October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 260 at 98%, followed by Above 270 at 94%, Above 280 at 86%. 114.5K contracts have traded, 56.0K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18) market close?
The listed close date is October 20, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Use this data
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/traffic-through-the-suez-canal-10-12-10-18/">Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18) odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18): Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 15). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/traffic-through-the-suez-canal-10-12-10-18/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketstrafficthroughthesuezcanal10121018, title = {Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18): Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-15 16:28 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/traffic-through-the-suez-canal-10-12-10-18/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
