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Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q3: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 12, 2026 at 08:48 UTC · Category: Financials · Event KXLUV-26OCTSEATS

As of October 12, 2026 at 08:48 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 56 million at 98%, followed by Above 56.5 million at 93%, Above 57 million at 70%. 27.2K contracts have traded, 18.0K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Above 56 million98%
+8 pts826459
Above 56.5 million93%
-1 pts3.2K1.9K
Above 57 million70%
-11 pts5.3K4.5K
Above 57.5 million30%
-45 pts5.8K3.2K
Above 58 million5.5%
-12 pts3.0K2.3K
Above 58.5 million5.5%
-7 pts758600
Above 59 million3.5%
·326214
Above 61 million3.5%
·13749
Above 60.5 million3.0%
·1.6K665
Above 59.5 million2.5%
-7 pts4.2K2.5K
Above 60 million2.5%
·533
Above 61.5 million1.5%
-4 pts2.1K828
Above 62 million1.5%
·127

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 16Oct 12

■ Above 56 million ■ Above 56.5 million ■ Above 57 million · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 56000000.0 seats flown in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q3?

As of October 12, 2026 at 08:48 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 56 million at 98%, followed by Above 56.5 million at 93%, Above 57 million at 70%. 27.2K contracts have traded, 18.0K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q3 market close?

The listed close date is February 19, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q3: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 12). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 12, 2026 at 08:48 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/southwest-airlines-seats-flown-in-q3/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketssouthwestairlinesseatsflowninq3, title = {Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q3: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-12 08:48 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/southwest-airlines-seats-flown-in-q3/}}

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