Snapshot October 9, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXSDCORNYIELD-27JAN31
As of October 9, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 125 bu/acre at 95%, followed by Above 130 bu/acre at 92%, Above 140 bu/acre at 87%. 246.2K contracts have traded, 111.1K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above 125 bu/acre ■ Above 140 bu/acre · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If USDA NASS reports that South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 125 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on South Dakota’s 2026 corn for grain yield per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS in the first Crop Production Annual Summary containing the final 2026 estimate. Yield is measured in bushels per harvested acre. Corn silage yield will not be considered. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.”
What are the Kalshi odds for South Dakota corn yield in 2026?
As of October 9, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 125 bu/acre at 95%, followed by Above 130 bu/acre at 92%, Above 140 bu/acre at 87%. 246.2K contracts have traded, 111.1K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the South Dakota corn yield in 2026 market close?
The listed close date is January 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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South Dakota corn yield in 2026: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 9). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 9, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/south-dakota-corn-yield-in-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketssouthdakotacornyieldin2026, title = {South Dakota corn yield in 2026: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-09 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/south-dakota-corn-yield-in-2026/}}
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