Kalshi odds today › Financials
Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Financials · Event KXRIVN-26OCTDELIV
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 11500 at 96%, followed by Above 12000 at 96%, Above 13500 at 94%. 119.1K contracts have traded, 2.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 11500 | 96% | · | 13.5K | 1.5K |
| Above 12000 | 96% | · | 14.7K | 2.9K |
| Above 13500 | 94% | +6 pts | 15.3K | 2.8K |
| Above 12500 | 94% | · | 8.1K | 2.7K |
| Above 13000 | 93% | -1 pts | 10.2K | 1.7K |
| Above 14500 | 88% | · | 8.4K | 2.0K |
| Above 14000 | 88% | · | 9.1K | 1.5K |
| Above 15000 | 88% | -2 pts | 6.2K | 2.2K |
| Above 15500 | 72% | · | 4.7K | 1.4K |
| Above 16000 | 65% | -2 pts | 4.0K | 2.3K |
| Above 16500 | 50% | · | 3.5K | 1.2K |
| Above 17000 | 34% | -2 pts | 9.6K | 3.7K |
| Above 17500 | 25% | · | 6.3K | 1.2K |
| Above 18000 | 22% | · | 5.3K | 1.5K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Above 12000 ■ Above 13500 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Rivian Automotive Inc. reports Above 11500 total vehicles delivered in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 11500 at 96%, followed by Above 12000 at 96%, Above 13500 at 94%. 119.1K contracts have traded, 2.7K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is January 29, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/rivian-total-vehicles-delivered-in-q3/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q3 Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/rivian-total-vehicles-delivered-in-q3/">Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q3 odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/rivian-total-vehicles-delivered-in-q3.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).