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Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXOSCARSUPACTO-27

As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Paul Giamatti at 28%, followed by Andrew Garfield at 26%, John Leguizamo at 16%. 172.8K contracts have traded, 5.8K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Paul Giamatti28%
·21.1K11.9K
Andrew Garfield26%
-2 pts10.5K8.2K
John Leguizamo16%
·13.8K9.8K
Robert Pattinson12%
+1 pts22.5K14.4K
Sam Rockwell8.0%
-2 pts13.1K10.9K
Guitarricadelafuente6.0%
+6 pts6.2K5.9K
Edward Norton2.5%
-3 pts11.7K10.0K
Skyler Gisondo2.5%
·10.8K6.6K
Jeremy Strong1.5%
·10.9K9.6K
Riz Ahmed1.0%
·8.2K7.7K
John Goodman1.0%
·7.9K7.1K
Channing Tatum1.0%
·6.7K6.7K
Tom Holland1.0%
·6.3K4.6K
Miles Teller1.0%
·5.0K3.8K
Tie1.0%
·4.8K4.2K
Colman Domingo1.0%
·4.4K4.2K
Guy Pearce1.0%
·3.3K3.3K
James Ortiz1.0%
·1.8K1.8K
Steve Buscemi1.0%
·1.3K1.3K
Adam Scott1.0%
·637586

7 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 11Oct 10

■ Paul Giamatti ■ Andrew Garfield ■ John Leguizamo · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If John Goodman has won Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Entertainment markets

More on this topic: Oscars odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor?

As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Paul Giamatti at 28%, followed by Andrew Garfield at 26%, John Leguizamo at 16%. 172.8K contracts have traded, 5.8K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor market close?

The listed close date is December 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Free JSON

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APA

Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 10). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-winner-best-supporting-actor/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketsoscarwinnerbestsupportingactor, title = {Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-10 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-winner-best-supporting-actor/}}

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