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Oscar Winner: Best Documentary Feature Film: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXOSCARDOCU-27

As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is You Can See Everything at 60%, followed by Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party at 51%, NAZA at 29%. 21.9K contracts have traded, 4.6K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
You Can See Everything60%
+21 pts8.5K6.9K
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party51%
·22
NAZA29%
+5 pts2.1K1.7K
Nuisance Bear11%
·619556
Musk11%
·4343
Once Upon a Time in Harlem7.0%
+1 pts5.6K3.3K
Tie5.0%
·2121
American Doctor3.5%
·4.0K2.5K
Tutu3.0%
·17595
One in a Million2.5%
·731711

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 9Sep 24

You Can See Everything NAZA · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Musk has won Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Oscar Winner: Best Documentary Feature Film?

As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is You Can See Everything at 60%, followed by Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party at 51%, NAZA at 29%. 21.9K contracts have traded, 4.6K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Oscar Winner: Best Documentary Feature Film market close?

The listed close date is December 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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