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Oscar winner: Best Actress: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXOSCARACTR-27

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, the leading outcome is Julianne Moore at 76%, followed by Inde Navarrette at 15%, Sandra Hüller at 2.5%. 346.6K contracts have traded, 2.1K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Julianne Moore76%
+1 pts69.5K45.2K
Inde Navarrette15%
·139.7K69.0K
Sandra Hüller2.5%
·13.6K11.7K
Zendaya2.5%
·7.0K6.7K
Olivia Wilde2.0%
·17.3K16.2K
Anne hathaway1.5%
·32.0K18.5K
Renate Reinsve1.5%
·16.7K11.5K
Tie1.0%
·13.7K13.7K
Penélope Cruz1.0%
·12.4K8.1K
Mikey Madison1.0%
·8.2K7.6K
Cynthia Erivo1.0%
·7.0K4.0K
Scarlett Johansson1.0%
·3.5K3.4K
Joan Collins1.0%
·3.3K3.2K
Kirsten Dunst1.0%
·1.0K1.0K
Natalie Portman1.0%
·812713
Dakota Johnson1.0%
·340340
Marion Bailey1.0%
·300300
Shailene Woodley1.0%
·146144
Kate O'Flynn1.0%
·105105

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 9Nov 7

■ Julianne Moore ■ Inde Navarrette ■ Sandra Hüller · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Renate Reinsve has won Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Entertainment markets

More on this topic: Oscars odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Oscar winner: Best Actress?

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, the leading outcome is Julianne Moore at 76%, followed by Inde Navarrette at 15%, Sandra Hüller at 2.5%. 346.6K contracts have traded, 2.1K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Oscar winner: Best Actress market close?

The listed close date is December 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Oscar winner: Best Actress: Kalshi Odds. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-winner-best-actress/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketsoscarwinnerbestactress, title = {Oscar winner: Best Actress: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Nov}, note = {Snapshot 2026-11-07 16:22 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-winner-best-actress/}}

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