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Oscar Winner: Best Actor: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXOSCARACTO-27

As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is John Malkovich at 40%, followed by Matt Damon at 22%, Andrew Scott at 18%. 1.2M contracts have traded, 18.4K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
John Malkovich40%
-1 pts119.7K89.7K
Matt Damon22%
-3 pts156.9K95.9K
Andrew Scott18%
+2 pts89.4K67.4K
Tom Cruise15%
+1 pts207.5K115.9K
Robert Pattinson5.5%
+1 pts112.0K78.9K
Timothée Chalamet2.5%
-1 pts80.4K74.2K
Anthony Ippolito2.0%
·58.9K53.5K
Ryan Gosling1.5%
·51.4K48.2K
Jeremy Strong1.0%
·70.3K59.2K
Pedro Pascal1.0%
·55.4K52.7K
Jafar Jackson1.0%
·53.1K52.7K
Brad Pitt1.0%
·42.5K40.5K
Tie1.0%
·40.0K40.0K
Tom Holland1.0%
·25.4K25.4K
Sebastian Stan1.0%
·21.0K19.3K
Adam Driver1.0%
·12.9K12.1K
Ethan Hawke1.0%
·6.4K6.4K
Josh O'Connor1.0%
·4.3K4.1K
Yura Borisov1.0%
·1.5K1.5K
Channing Tatum1.0%
·1.5K1.5K

5 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 9Oct 8

■ John Malkovich ■ Matt Damon ■ Andrew Scott · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If John Malkovich has won Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99 Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Entertainment markets

More on this topic: Oscars odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Oscar Winner: Best Actor?

As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is John Malkovich at 40%, followed by Matt Damon at 22%, Andrew Scott at 18%. 1.2M contracts have traded, 18.4K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Oscar Winner: Best Actor market close?

The listed close date is December 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Free JSON

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APA

Oscar Winner: Best Actor: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-winner-best-actor/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketsoscarwinnerbestactor, title = {Oscar Winner: Best Actor: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-winner-best-actor/}}

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