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Oscar Winner: Best Actor: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXOSCARACTO-27

As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is John Malkovich at 37%, followed by Matt Damon at 26%, Andrew Scott at 16%. 920.2K contracts have traded, 21.8K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
John Malkovich37%
+4 pts100.3K73.7K
Matt Damon26%
-1 pts139.3K83.6K
Andrew Scott16%
·69.2K53.0K
Tom Cruise15%
·144.4K91.6K
Robert Pattison6.5%
-6 pts82.5K65.8K
Timothée Chalamet5.0%
+3 pts64.8K59.4K
Anthony Ippolito3.5%
-1 pts35.2K33.6K
Ryan Gosling1.5%
-1 pts43.8K40.9K
Pedro Pascal1.5%
·41.3K39.6K
Jafar Jackson1.0%
-3 pts44.4K44.1K
Jeremy Strong1.0%
·42.4K38.6K
Tie1.0%
·27.7K27.7K
Tom Holland1.0%
·22.5K22.5K
Brad Pitt1.0%
·20.1K18.5K
Sebastian Stan1.0%
·19.9K18.2K
Adam Driver1.0%
·8.8K8.0K
Ethan Hawke1.0%
·5.5K5.5K
Josh O'Connor1.0%
·4.1K3.9K
Channing Tatum1.0%
·1.3K1.3K
Keanu Reeves1.0%
·971971

4 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 26Sep 24

■ John Malkovich ■ Matt Damon ■ Andrew Scott · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If John Malkovich has won Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99 Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Oscar Winner: Best Actor?

As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is John Malkovich at 37%, followed by Matt Damon at 26%, Andrew Scott at 16%. 920.2K contracts have traded, 21.8K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Oscar Winner: Best Actor market close?

The listed close date is December 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Free JSON

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