Kalshi odds today › Entertainment
Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXOSCARNOMPIC-27
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is The Odyssey at 98%, followed by The Black Ball at 96%, Wild Horse Nine at 91%. 1.0M contracts have traded, 12.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Odyssey | 98% | · | 135.5K | 56.8K |
| The Black Ball | 96% | -3 pts | 18.4K | 10.0K |
| Wild Horse Nine | 91% | +2 pts | 50.0K | 19.6K |
| Project Hail Mary | 82% | · | 167.6K | 65.1K |
| Dune: Part Three | 82% | +8 pts | 17.5K | 9.1K |
| The Debut | 78% | +1 pts | 11.2K | 7.8K |
| The Invite | 68% | -3 pts | 28.4K | 20.1K |
| Fjord | 54% | +5 pts | 36.3K | 18.3K |
| All of a Sudden | 40% | -1 pts | 14.1K | 8.2K |
| Behemoth | 39% | · | 13.3K | 5.1K |
| Obsession | 33% | -7 pts | 88.3K | 47.3K |
| You Can See Everything | 30% | -1 pts | 28.1K | 21.8K |
| I Play Rocky | 30% | -7 pts | 23.9K | 10.4K |
| Elsinore | 26% | -5 pts | 9.2K | 2.6K |
| Club Kid | 24% | -2 pts | 19.7K | 12.6K |
| Being Heumann | 24% | -6 pts | 11.9K | 6.8K |
| Possible Love | 22% | -1 pts | 14.5K | 6.2K |
| The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth | 20% | · | 17.0K | 9.3K |
| Josephine | 20% | · | 13.6K | 5.2K |
| Paper Tiger | 18% | +4 pts | 11.1K | 6.8K |
32 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ The Odyssey ■ The Black Ball ■ Wild Horse Nine · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If The Odyssey has been nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is The Odyssey at 98%, followed by The Black Ball at 96%, Wild Horse Nine at 91%. 1.0M contracts have traded, 12.3K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is December 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/oscar-nominees-best-picture/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Oscar nominees: Best Picture Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-nominees-best-picture/">Oscar nominees: Best Picture odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/oscar-nominees-best-picture.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).