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Oscar nominees: Best Director: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXOSCARNOMDIR-27

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, the leading outcome is Christopher Nolan at 98%, followed by Javier Calvo at 90%, Martin McDonagh at 68%. 159.3K contracts have traded, 616 in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Christopher Nolan98%
·18.5K9.7K
Javier Calvo90%
·3.4K2.2K
Martin McDonagh68%
·15.1K6.4K
Nathan Fielder64%
·21.4K13.0K
Olivia Wilde62%
+1 pts15.5K8.3K
Denis Villeneuve58%
-1 pts13.7K5.6K
Ryusuke Hamaguchi32%
+2 pts2.8K1.9K
Alejandro González Iñárritu21%
-1 pts11.5K5.7K
Jesse Eisenberg19%
-1 pts7.0K2.3K
Cristian Mungiu18%
-3 pts5.0K2.5K
Curry Barker15%
·10.4K6.7K
David Fincher12%
-2 pts3.8K1.9K
Christopher Miller12%
·2.3K1.3K
Phil Lord8.0%
-5 pts4.1K3.2K
Greta Gerwig8.0%
·2.5K1.5K
Joel Coen6.0%
·2.8K891
Danny Boyle6.0%
·2.2K413
Mike Leigh6.0%
·2.1K1.6K
Steven Spielberg5.5%
-1 pts8.7K4.1K
Paweł Pawlikowski4.5%
·1.6K544

7 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 9Nov 7

■ Christopher Nolan ■ Javier Calvo ■ Martin McDonagh · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Phil Lord has been nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Entertainment markets

More on this topic: Oscars odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Oscar nominees: Best Director?

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, the leading outcome is Christopher Nolan at 98%, followed by Javier Calvo at 90%, Martin McDonagh at 68%. 159.3K contracts have traded, 616 in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Oscar nominees: Best Director market close?

The listed close date is December 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Oscar nominees: Best Director: Kalshi Odds. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-nominees-best-director/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketsoscarnomineesbestdirector, title = {Oscar nominees: Best Director: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Nov}, note = {Snapshot 2026-11-07 16:22 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-nominees-best-director/}}

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