Kalshi odds today › Entertainment
Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXOSCARNOMDIR-27
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Christopher Nolan at 96%, followed by Javier Calvo at 77%, Martin McDonagh at 64%. 94.0K contracts have traded, 2.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Nolan | 96% | · | 11.4K | 3.5K |
| Javier Calvo | 77% | -13 pts | 3.0K | 2.0K |
| Martin McDonagh | 64% | · | 7.3K | 3.5K |
| Olivia Wilde | 63% | +17 pts | 10.4K | 6.4K |
| Denis Villeneuve | 56% | -6 pts | 9.3K | 3.8K |
| Ryusuke Hamaguchi | 32% | · | 1.5K | 1.5K |
| Cristian Mungiu | 30% | +10 pts | 4.1K | 2.1K |
| Christopher Miller | 21% | · | 1.8K | 879 |
| David Fincher | 18% | · | 2.7K | 1.0K |
| Alejandro González Iñárritu | 14% | -7 pts | 7.7K | 4.0K |
| Danny Boyle | 13% | · | 1.9K | 439 |
| Jesse Eisenberg | 12% | -1 pts | 6.1K | 2.2K |
| Mike Leigh | 9.0% | · | 203 | 203 |
| Steven Spielberg | 8.5% | · | 8.2K | 4.1K |
| Curry Barker | 7.5% | -3 pts | 6.1K | 3.6K |
| Phil Lord | 7.5% | -7 pts | 2.3K | 1.7K |
| Tony Gilroy | 5.5% | -11 pts | 1.4K | 615 |
| Beth de Araujo | 5.0% | · | 255 | 255 |
| Paweł Pawlikowski | 5.0% | · | 1.1K | 323 |
| Joel Coen | 4.5% | · | 2.7K | 1.0K |
6 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Christopher Nolan ■ Javier Calvo ■ Martin McDonagh · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Phil Lord has been nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Christopher Nolan at 96%, followed by Javier Calvo at 77%, Martin McDonagh at 64%. 94.0K contracts have traded, 2.6K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is December 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/oscar-nominees-best-director/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Oscar nominees: Best Director Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-nominees-best-director/">Oscar nominees: Best Director odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/oscar-nominees-best-director.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
Oscar nominees: Best Director: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-nominees-best-director/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsoscarnomineesbestdirector, title = {Oscar nominees: Best Director: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-nominees-best-director/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-nominees-best-director/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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