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Oscar nominees: Best Actress: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXOSCARNOMACTR-27

As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Julianne Moore at 94%, followed by Inde Navarrette at 74%, Sandra Hüller at 70%. 296.4K contracts have traded, 2.1K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Julianne Moore94%
·19.4K8.4K
Inde Navarrette74%
·127.2K63.5K
Sandra Hüller70%
·12.5K5.2K
Olivia Wilde62%
+4 pts24.8K11.6K
Ruth Madeley44%
-10 pts5.2K2.5K
Renate Reinsve41%
-3 pts25.5K8.0K
Virginie Efira40%
-1 pts5.0K3.2K
Joan Collins17%
·630597
Rosalind Eleazar16%
·5.1K1.1K
Laura Linney13%
·1.5K500
Emily Blunt12%
-8 pts15.3K6.2K
Mikey Madison12%
·9.5K4.8K
Cynthia Erivo10%
·6.0K2.2K
Daisy Edgar-Jones7.5%
-1 pts3.0K1.8K
Zendaya6.5%
·2.1K1.2K
Sophie Okonedo6.0%
·342342
Anne Hathaway5.0%
·13.8K7.2K
Scarlett Johansson4.0%
-8 pts3.6K2.0K
Kirsten Dunst4.0%
·1.0K307
Shailene Woodley4.0%
·918210

6 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 9Oct 8

■ Julianne Moore ■ Inde Navarrette ■ Sandra Hüller · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Renate Reinsve has been nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Entertainment markets

More on this topic: Oscars odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Oscar nominees: Best Actress?

As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Julianne Moore at 94%, followed by Inde Navarrette at 74%, Sandra Hüller at 70%. 296.4K contracts have traded, 2.1K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Oscar nominees: Best Actress market close?

The listed close date is December 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Free JSON

/api/v1/markets/oscar-nominees-best-actress.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).

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APA

Oscar nominees: Best Actress: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-nominees-best-actress/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketsoscarnomineesbestactress, title = {Oscar nominees: Best Actress: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-nominees-best-actress/}}

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