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Oscar nominees: Best Actress: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXOSCARNOMACTR-27

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, the leading outcome is Julianne Moore at 98%, followed by Inde Navarrette at 76%, Olivia Wilde at 72%. 348.2K contracts have traded, 294 in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Julianne Moore98%
-5 pts20.5K8.5K
Inde Navarrette76%
+1 pts143.6K65.1K
Olivia Wilde72%
+4 pts30.6K12.4K
Sandra Hüller68%
·16.3K5.4K
Virginie Efira42%
-13 pts6.5K3.8K
Ruth Madeley36%
·6.8K2.2K
Renate Reinsve26%
-1 pts28.4K8.2K
Zendaya20%
-2 pts10.0K5.2K
Rosalind Eleazar15%
·6.5K1.8K
Emily Blunt12%
-2 pts17.2K7.0K
Anne Hathaway8.0%
+3 pts16.2K8.0K
Sophie Okonedo8.0%
·924914
Daisy Edgar-Jones6.5%
+1 pts3.4K1.9K
Mikey Madison6.0%
·10.4K4.4K
Penélope Cruz5.5%
+3 pts4.4K2.4K
Laura Linney5.5%
·1.5K509
Scarlett Johansson5.0%
·3.8K2.1K
Kirsten Dunst5.0%
·1.3K171
Joan Collins4.5%
+4 pts660605
Michelle Williams3.5%
·9.2K3.8K

6 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 9Nov 7

■ Julianne Moore ■ Inde Navarrette ■ Olivia Wilde · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Renate Reinsve has been nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Entertainment markets

More on this topic: Oscars odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Oscar nominees: Best Actress?

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, the leading outcome is Julianne Moore at 98%, followed by Inde Navarrette at 76%, Olivia Wilde at 72%. 348.2K contracts have traded, 294 in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Oscar nominees: Best Actress market close?

The listed close date is December 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Free JSON

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APA

Oscar nominees: Best Actress: Kalshi Odds. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-nominees-best-actress/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketsoscarnomineesbestactress, title = {Oscar nominees: Best Actress: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Nov}, note = {Snapshot 2026-11-07 16:22 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-nominees-best-actress/}}

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