Kalshi odds today › Entertainment
Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXOSCARNOMACTR-27
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Julianne Moore at 94%, followed by Inde Navarrette at 75%, Olivia Wilde at 62%. 274.0K contracts have traded, 3.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julianne Moore | 94% | -8 pts | 18.5K | 8.3K |
| Inde Navarrette | 75% | -3 pts | 123.0K | 64.7K |
| Olivia Wilde | 62% | -5 pts | 21.4K | 10.8K |
| Sandra Hüller | 54% | -2 pts | 10.4K | 5.8K |
| Renate Reinsve | 50% | -2 pts | 22.8K | 7.5K |
| Virginie Efira | 41% | · | 3.3K | 2.1K |
| Ruth Madeley | 40% | · | 5.0K | 2.4K |
| Cynthia Erivo | 20% | +3 pts | 5.6K | 2.5K |
| Rosalind Eleazar | 17% | -5 pts | 4.4K | 830 |
| Joan Collins | 17% | -6 pts | 630 | 597 |
| Daisy Edgar-Jones | 16% | · | 2.5K | 2.3K |
| Emily Blunt | 14% | · | 13.7K | 5.9K |
| Mikey Madison | 14% | · | 6.4K | 4.7K |
| Laura Linney | 13% | · | 1.5K | 500 |
| Zendaya | 6.0% | · | 2.0K | 1.1K |
| Scarlett Johansson | 6.0% | -8 pts | 3.4K | 2.0K |
| Sophie Okonedo | 6.0% | · | 342 | 342 |
| Anne Hathaway | 4.5% | · | 13.1K | 7.2K |
| Penélope Cruz | 4.0% | · | 3.5K | 1.7K |
| Kirsten Dunst | 4.0% | · | 1.0K | 307 |
6 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Julianne Moore ■ Inde Navarrette ■ Olivia Wilde · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Renate Reinsve has been nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Julianne Moore at 94%, followed by Inde Navarrette at 75%, Olivia Wilde at 62%. 274.0K contracts have traded, 3.6K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is December 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/oscar-nominees-best-actress/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Oscar nominees: Best Actress Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-nominees-best-actress/">Oscar nominees: Best Actress odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/oscar-nominees-best-actress.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).