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Oscar nominees: Best Actor: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXOSCARNOMACTO-27

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, the leading outcome is Matt Damon at 94%, followed by John Malkovich at 93%, Andrew Scott at 91%. 561.2K contracts have traded, 4.6K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Matt Damon94%
·40.2K14.4K
John Malkovich93%
-3 pts20.3K10.9K
Andrew Scott91%
+1 pts30.1K14.3K
Mahershala Ali58%
+45 pts4.9K3.8K
Tom Cruise52%
-2 pts79.5K32.4K
John Turturro48%
+3 pts17.8K8.6K
Anthony Ippolito48%
·20.2K10.9K
Ryan Gosling47%
-1 pts64.1K28.7K
Robert Pattinson37%
·52.0K21.5K
Yura Borisov20%
·4.3K3.4K
Sebastian Stan20%
-7 pts19.2K9.7K
Jaafar Jackson15%
·38.1K23.5K
Timothée Chalamet14%
·31.1K13.8K
Pedro Pascal13%
+1 pts44.4K10.5K
Guy Pearce10%
·188188
Tom Holland5.5%
·2.2K1.2K
Adam Driver4.5%
·7.3K3.7K
Andrew Garfield4.5%
-2 pts32.0K13.3K
Javier Bardem4.0%
·3.3K1.6K
Josh O'Connor4.0%
·2.1K558

14 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 9Nov 7

■ Matt Damon ■ John Malkovich ■ Andrew Scott · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If John Malkovich has been nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Entertainment markets

More on this topic: Oscars odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Oscar nominees: Best Actor?

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, the leading outcome is Matt Damon at 94%, followed by John Malkovich at 93%, Andrew Scott at 91%. 561.2K contracts have traded, 4.6K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Oscar nominees: Best Actor market close?

The listed close date is December 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Free JSON

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APA

Oscar nominees: Best Actor: Kalshi Odds. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-nominees-best-actor/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketsoscarnomineesbestactor, title = {Oscar nominees: Best Actor: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Nov}, note = {Snapshot 2026-11-07 16:22 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-nominees-best-actor/}}

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