Kalshi odds today › Entertainment
Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Entertainment · Event KXOSCARNOMACTO-27
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Matt Damon at 92%, followed by John Malkovich at 92%, Andrew Scott at 86%. 364.6K contracts have traded, 2.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Damon | 92% | +3 pts | 31.8K | 14.7K |
| John Malkovich | 92% | · | 16.8K | 9.0K |
| Andrew Scott | 86% | · | 26.2K | 12.9K |
| Robert Pattinson | 60% | +2 pts | 30.8K | 14.5K |
| Tom Cruise | 44% | +6 pts | 44.6K | 21.1K |
| Ryan Gosling | 42% | -2 pts | 45.6K | 23.7K |
| Anthony Ippolito | 36% | -3 pts | 7.8K | 5.1K |
| Sebastian Stan | 26% | · | 14.3K | 7.9K |
| John Turturro | 26% | -1 pts | 6.5K | 4.3K |
| Pedro Pascal | 24% | +3 pts | 31.7K | 10.6K |
| Timothée Chalamet | 22% | +1 pts | 19.0K | 11.1K |
| Jaafar Jackson | 20% | · | 32.3K | 21.5K |
| Andrew Garfield | 20% | -3 pts | 4.5K | 4.4K |
| Jeremy Strong | 16% | · | 14.5K | 9.2K |
| Robert Aramayo | 10% | · | 4.1K | 2.5K |
| Guy Pearce | 10% | · | 176 | 176 |
| Channing Tatum | 8.0% | · | 2.8K | 2.2K |
| Keanu Reeves | 8.0% | · | 1.9K | 1.0K |
| Adam Driver | 7.5% | · | 4.8K | 3.5K |
| Dominic Sessa | 7.0% | · | 2.6K | 2.2K |
13 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Matt Damon ■ John Malkovich ■ Andrew Scott · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If John Malkovich has been nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Matt Damon at 92%, followed by John Malkovich at 92%, Andrew Scott at 86%. 364.6K contracts have traded, 2.4K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is December 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/oscar-nominees-best-actor/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Oscar nominees: Best Actor Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/oscar-nominees-best-actor/">Oscar nominees: Best Actor odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/oscar-nominees-best-actor.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).