NYC median asking rent in December 2026: Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 9, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXNYCASKRENT-27JAN31
As of October 9, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above $3,800 at 94%, followed by Above $3,900 at 78%, Above $4,000 at 41%. 226.4K contracts have traded, 57.3K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above $3,800 ■ Above $3,900 ■ Above $4,000 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If StreetEasy reports that New York City’s median asking rent for December 2026 is above $3,800, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the NYC → Rentals → Median asking rent value published by StreetEasy for December 2026. This metric reflects asking rents for rental listings, not rents on executed leases or an average of monthly rents during 2026.”
What are the Kalshi odds for NYC median asking rent in December 2026?
As of October 9, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above $3,800 at 94%, followed by Above $3,900 at 78%, Above $4,000 at 41%. 226.4K contracts have traded, 57.3K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the NYC median asking rent in December 2026 market close?
The listed close date is January 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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NYC median asking rent in December 2026: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 9). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 9, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/nyc-median-asking-rent-in-december-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsnycmedianaskingrentindecember2026, title = {NYC median asking rent in December 2026: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-09 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/nyc-median-asking-rent-in-december-2026/}}
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